Future Index

Politics in Middle East

The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under politics in middle east. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.

World conditions

A fairly ordinary day

Attention46about usual+5.8 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Attention is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

Medium confidence0.62
3 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion1
3 items
Mood+13more positive than usual15.4 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Mood is calculated

18% positive · 73% neutral · 9% negative

06:0012:0018:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

Medium confidence0.59
1 sourcePublic discussion1
11 items
Turbulence48active10.7 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Turbulence is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

High confidence0.74
4 sourcesForecast markets1Search & activity2Public discussion1
9 items
DisagreementNot yet

Fewer than two independent communities have said anything about this part of the world, and one community cannot disagree with itself.

Forecast conditions

Forecast Movement56moving+12.0 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Forecast Movement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Forecast Movement is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

Medium confidence0.69
1 sourceForecast markets1
3 items

3 questions · 1 source

Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.

The last 24 hours, without the explanations

What changed today

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 17 measurements were compared.

17 changes were compared. Not shown: 9 with nothing to compare against, 8 within their usual range.

All changes today

Signals moving together

Cross-signal detections are unavailable right now.

Biggest movers

Movers are temporarily unavailable.

All measurements and ranges

Trending topics

Trending topics are temporarily unavailable.

Where sources disagree

Disagreements are temporarily unavailable.

Data conditions

How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.

Measurement quality
53%
Coverage
50% — 5 of 10 sources reporting
Freshness
Up to date
Representativeness
Limited
  • 2 online communities
  • 3 kinds of evidence
  • one language scored; 5 items carried no identification
  • 1 of 6 regions, over 3 located subjects

How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings