Future Index

The last 24 hours

Measured over the 24 hours to . The readings below are the state now; every comparison is against 24 hours earlier. A trailing window rather than a calendar day.

World conditions

A fairly ordinary day

Attention31below usual−7.1 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Attention is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.77
5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
426 items
Mood−14more negative than usual−1.4 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Mood is calculated

Right now 28% positive · 53% neutral · 18% negative — the figure is measured against its usual mix

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.94
3 sourcesPublic discussion3
6,702 items
Turbulence40calm−16.4 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Turbulence is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.92
8 sourcesForecast markets3Search & activity2Public discussion3
2,227 items
Disagreement49some disagreement+1.3 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Disagreement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Disagreement is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

Low confidence0.36
3 sourcesPublic discussion3
3,999 items

Forecast conditions

Forecast Movement42some movement−5.1 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Forecast Movement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Forecast Movement is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.91
3 sourcesForecast markets3
466 items

466 questions · 3 sources

Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.

What changed

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

  1. AttentionPublic discussionHacker News

    Binance and BNB

    Attention rose sharply

    12.0× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    +223 mentionsup over the last 24 hours

  2. AttentionPublic discussionHacker News

    Italy

    Attention rose sharply

    8.8× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    +14 mentionsup over the last 24 hours

    Coincided with a change in discussion sentiment.

  3. AttentionPublic discussionLemmy

    Iran

    Attention rose sharply

    5.5× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    82mentions

    +51 mentionsup over the last 24 hours

2 further changes on this page — show them
  1. AttentionPublic discussionLemmy

    US recession risk

    Attention rose sharply

    7.2× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    +38 mentionsup over the last 24 hours

  2. AttentionPublic discussionHacker News

    Private credit and private equity

    Attention rose sharply

    6.6× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    +52 mentionsup over a full day

800 changes were compared.

All changes today


Data conditions

measurement quality 78% · coverage 73% (8 of 11 sources reporting) · up to date · moderate sample

How these readings are calculated