Future Index

Politics in Asia-Pacific

The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under politics in asia-pacific. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.

World conditions

A fairly ordinary day

Attention42below usual±0.1 ptsunchanged over 24 hours

Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Attention is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.77
5 sourcesPublic discussion3Search & activity2
22 items
Mood−1about as usual−5.3 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Mood is calculated

Right now 26% positive · 64% neutral · 10% negative — the figure is measured against its usual mix

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.86
3 sourcesPublic discussion3
176 items
Turbulence49active−12.7 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Turbulence is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.91
7 sourcesForecast markets2Public discussion3Search & activity2
99 items
Disagreement59clear disagreement+3.3 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Disagreement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Disagreement is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

Low confidence0.31
2 sourcesPublic discussion2
99 items

Forecast conditions

Forecast Movement46some movement−36.6 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Forecast Movement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Forecast Movement is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.83
2 sourcesForecast markets2
14 items

14 questions · 2 sources

Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.

Today in brief — the last 24 hours on one page

What changed today

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

  1. AttentionSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews

    Bangladesh

    Attention rose

    2.2× its usual variation — larger than usual

    9views

    +6 viewsup over the last 24 hours

    Future Index

150 changes were compared.

All changes today

Signals moving together

No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 22 topics: 2 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 5 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.

Biggest movers

  1. about usual
    +4.4 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Politics
  2. about usual
    +4.0 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Politics
  3. about usual
    +3.6 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Politics
2 further topics moved less — show them
  1. about usual
    +2.9 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Politics
    • Conflict
  2. about usual
    +2.3 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Politics

All measurements and ranges

Trending topics

  1. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Looked up
    • Read here
  2. 2 kinds of source are unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Looked up
    • Read here
  3. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Read here
    • Reported

Where sources disagree

No topic currently shows a material difference between how much is being published about it and how much it is being discussed. A comparison needs both sides: a topic only one of them has anything to say about is not a disagreement.

Data conditions

How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.

Measurement quality
74%
Coverage
64% — 7 of 11 sources reporting
Freshness
Up to date
Representativeness
Moderate
  • 8 online communities
  • 3 kinds of evidence
  • one language scored; 2 more seen and not scored; 55 items carried no identification
  • 1 of 6 regions, over 22 located subjects

How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings