Future Index

Politics in Africa

The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under politics in africa. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.

World conditions

An unusually active day

Attention60about usual36.4 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Attention is calculated

00:0006:0012:0018:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

Medium confidence0.67
3 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion1
5 items
Mood−24more negative than usual6.2 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Mood is calculated

10% positive · 64% neutral · 26% negative

00:0006:0012:0018:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

Medium confidence0.62
2 sourcesPublic discussion2
8 items
Turbulence63turbulent+43.0 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Turbulence is calculated

00:0006:0012:0018:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

Medium confidence0.67
3 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion1
9 items
DisagreementNot yet

Fewer than two independent communities have said anything about this part of the world, and one community cannot disagree with itself.

Forecast conditions

Forecast MovementNot yet

No forecast question in this part of the world has both a calculated metric and a reading to compare it with.

Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.

The last 24 hours, without the explanations

What changed today

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 17 measurements were compared.

17 changes were compared. Not shown: 9 with nothing to compare against, 8 within their usual range.

All changes today

Signals moving together

No relationships between signals were detected in this window. A detection needs two layers to have moved measurably over the same topic.

Biggest movers

  1. unusually high
    +25.1 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Politics
  2. about usual
    +21.1 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Politics
  3. about usual
    +9.1 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Politics

All measurements and ranges

Trending topics

  1. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Looked up
    • Read here
    • discounted — few accounts carried the activity

Where sources disagree

No topic currently shows a material difference between how much is being published about it and how much it is being discussed. A comparison needs both sides: a topic only one of them has anything to say about is not a disagreement.

Data conditions

How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.

Measurement quality
39%
Coverage
40% — 4 of 10 sources reporting
Freshness
Up to date
Representativeness
Limited
  • 2 online communities
  • 2 kinds of evidence
  • one language scored; 1 items carried no identification
  • 1 of 6 regions, over 5 located subjects

How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings