Future Index

Health

The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under health. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.

World conditions

A fairly ordinary day

Attention43below usual−18.6 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Attention is calculated

06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.75
5 sourcesPublic discussion3Search & activity2
35 items
Mood+6about as usual+1.2 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Mood is calculated

Right now 23% positive · 60% neutral · 17% negative — the figure is measured against its usual mix

06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.86
3 sourcesPublic discussion3
118 items
Turbulence40active−10.5 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Turbulence is calculated

06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.90
7 sourcesForecast markets2Public discussion3Search & activity2
140 items
DisagreementNot yet

Fewer than two independent communities have said anything about this part of the world, and one community cannot disagree with itself.

Forecast conditions

Forecast Movement41some movement−13.5 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Forecast Movement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Forecast Movement is calculated

06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.79
2 sourcesForecast markets2
7 items

7 questions · 2 sources

Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.

Today in brief — the last 24 hours on one page

What changed today

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

  1. AttentionPublic discussionHacker News

    Healthcare policy

    Attention rose sharply

    4.3× its usual variation — much larger than usual

    +25 mentionsup over a full day

  2. AttentionSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews

    Mental health

    Attention rose

    2.4× its usual variation — larger than usual

    12views

    +10 viewsup over a full day

    Coincided with a change in discussion sentiment.

    Future Index

  3. AttentionPublic discussionLemmy

    Opioid crisis

    Attention rose sharply

    3.9× its usual variation — much larger than usual

    +37 mentionsup over the last 24 hours

2 further changes on this page — show them
  1. Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy

    Drug approvals and trials

    Discussion turned more positive sharply

    5.4× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    29

    +30.7 ptsup over the last 24 hours

  2. AttentionPublic discussionLemmy

    Water pollution and sewage

    Attention rose sharply

    5.0× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    +8 mentionsup over a full day

184 changes were compared.

All changes today

Signals moving together

  1. NARRATIVE GAP

    News coverage rose while public attention stayed at its usual level.

    Pharmaceutical industry

    Public attention
    0.9σ from usual, 4 sources
    Coverage
    6 separate reports, 5.2σ from usual
    How this was detected

    Strength within narrative gap: 10%

    • Public discussionHacker News
    • Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
    • Public discussionLemmy
    • Public discussionMastodon
    • The coverage baseline covers a short history.
    • Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.

Biggest movers

  1. about usual
    +18.9 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Climate
    • Health
  2. about usual
    +11.6 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Health
  3. about usual
    +10.7 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Health
    • Politics
5 further topics moved less — show them
  1. about usual
    +8.6 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Health
    • Technology
  2. below usual
    +5.1 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Health
    • Economy
  3. about usual
    +5.1 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • AI
    • Health
  4. about usual
    +3.4 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Health
  5. below usual
    +2.2 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Health

All measurements and ranges

Trending topics

  1. 2 kinds of source are unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Looked up
  2. 2 kinds of source are unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Read here
    • Reported
  3. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
2 further topics on this list — show them
  1. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Read here
    • discounted — few accounts carried the activity
  2. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Read here

Where sources disagree

No topic currently shows a material difference between how much is being published about it and how much it is being discussed. A comparison needs both sides: a topic only one of them has anything to say about is not a disagreement.

Data conditions

How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.

Measurement quality
66%
Coverage
64% — 7 of 11 sources reporting
Freshness
Up to date
Representativeness
Moderate
  • 5 online communities
  • 3 kinds of evidence
  • one language scored; 1 more seen and not scored; 26 items carried no identification
  • 1 of 6 regions, over 3 located subjects

How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings