AttentionPublic discussionHacker News
Attention rose sharply
7.5× its usual variation — far larger than usual
+33 mentionsup over the last 24 hours
Entertainment
The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under entertainment. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.
World conditions
A fairly ordinary day
- Attentionbelow usual
- Moodmore negative than usual
- Turbulenceactive
- Disagreementsome disagreement
- Forecast Movementsome movement
Attention40below usual−14.6 ptsdown over 24 hours
Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Attention is calculated06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Mood−34more negative than usual−15.1 ptsdown over 24 hours
Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Mood is calculatedRight now 32% positive · 52% neutral · 16% negative — the figure is measured against its usual mix
06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Turbulence48active+9.5 ptsup over 24 hours
Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Turbulence is calculated06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Disagreement46some disagreementNo comparison a day back yet
Where the Disagreement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Disagreement is calculated06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Forecast conditions
Forecast Movement40some movement±0.0 ptsunchanged over 24 hours
Where the Forecast Movement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Forecast Movement is calculated06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
6 questions · 2 sources
Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.
Today in brief — the last 24 hours on one page
What changed today
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
AttentionPublic discussionHacker News
Attention rose
2.2× its usual variation — larger than usual
30mentions
+29 mentionsup over the last 24 hours
AttentionPublic discussionHacker News
Attention rose sharply
4.1× its usual variation — much larger than usual
+5 mentionsup over a full day
1 further change on this page — show it
Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy
Discussion turned more positive
2.2× its usual variation — larger than usual
58
+43.3 ptsup over the last 24 hours
160 changes were compared.
Signals moving together
NARRATIVE GAP
News coverage rose while public attention stayed at its usual level.
- Public attention
- 0.9σ from usual, 4 sources
- Coverage
- 7 separate reports, 5.2σ from usual
How this was detected
Strength within narrative gap: 11%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Public discussionMastodon
- The coverage baseline covers a short history.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
- One of the signals is older than its usual update interval.
QUIET MOVE
Forecast probability moved while public attention stayed at its usual level.
- Forecast
- 4.0 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 3.3× its usual daily moveWill Project Hail Mary be nominated for Best Picture? opens in a new tab from 80.0% to 76.0%
- Public attention
- 0.8σ from usual, 5 sources
How this was detected
Strength within quiet move: 15%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Forecast marketsManifold Markets
- Public discussionMastodon
- Search & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- One forecast contract moved.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
Biggest movers
- Music57about usual+3.7 ptsup over 24 hours
- about usual+3.7 ptsup over 24 hours
- about usual+3.2 ptsup over 24 hours
1 further topic moved less — show it
- about usual+2.1 ptsup over 24 hours
Trending topics
- One kind of source is unusually busy with this
- 2 kinds of source are unusually busy with this
- Music19One kind of source is unusually busy with this
3 further topics on this list — show them
- One kind of source is unusually busy with this
- 2 kinds of source are unusually busy with this
- One kind of source is unusually busy with this
Where sources disagree
No topic currently shows a material difference between how much is being published about it and how much it is being discussed. A comparison needs both sides: a topic only one of them has anything to say about is not a disagreement.
Data conditions
How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.
- Measurement quality
- 72%
- Coverage
- 64% — 7 of 11 sources reporting
- Freshness
- Up to date
- Representativeness
- Moderate
- 6 online communities
- 3 kinds of evidence
- one language scored; 53 items carried no identification
- 3 of 6 regions, over 5 located subjects
How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings