Future Index

Climate

The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under climate. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.

World conditions

A fairly ordinary day

Attention41below usual+0.6 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Attention is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.75
5 sourcesPublic discussion3Search & activity2
21 items
Mood−17more negative than usual−4.8 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Mood is calculated

Right now 14% positive · 73% neutral · 12% negative — the figure is measured against its usual mix

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.79
3 sourcesPublic discussion3
46 items
Turbulence57active+6.7 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Turbulence is calculated

06:0012:0018:0000:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.83
6 sourcesForecast markets1Public discussion3Search & activity2
92 items
Out of date
DisagreementNot yet

Fewer than two independent communities have said anything about this part of the world, and one community cannot disagree with itself.

Forecast conditions

Forecast MovementNot yet

This figure has not moved at all across the whole window it is compared against, so there is no spread to place today's reading on.

Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.

Today in brief — the last 24 hours on one page

What changed today

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

  1. AttentionSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews

    Biodiversity and land use

    Attention rose sharply

    4.6× its usual variation — much larger than usual

    9views

    +7.5 viewsup over a full day

    Future Index

  2. AttentionPublic discussionLemmy

    Water pollution and sewage

    Attention rose sharply

    5.0× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    +8 mentionsup over a full day

  3. Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy

    Floods

    Discussion turned more negative sharply

    5.0× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    -58

    −63.6 ptsdown over the last 24 hours

2 further changes on this page — show them
  1. Discussion sentimentPublic discussionMastodon

    Hurricanes and storms

    Discussion turned more positive

    2.9× its usual variation — larger than usual

    32

    +34.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours

  2. AttentionPublic discussionLemmy

    Drought and water

    Attention rose

    2.3× its usual variation — larger than usual

    +3 mentionsup over a full day

108 changes were compared.

All changes today

Signals moving together

No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 21 topics: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 2 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.

Biggest movers

  1. about usual
    +18.9 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Climate
    • Health
  2. about usual
    +10.2 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Climate
  3. below usual
    +6.8 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Climate
2 further topics moved less — show them
  1. about usual
    +4.8 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Climate
  2. about usual
    +2.2 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Climate

All measurements and ranges

Trending topics

  1. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Read here
    • discounted — few accounts carried the activity
  2. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
  3. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Read here
1 further topic on this list — show it
  1. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion

Where sources disagree

No topic currently shows a material difference between how much is being published about it and how much it is being discussed. A comparison needs both sides: a topic only one of them has anything to say about is not a disagreement.

Data conditions

How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.

Measurement quality
47%
Coverage
55% — 6 of 11 sources reporting
Freshness
Out of date
Representativeness
Moderate
  • 4 online communities
  • 3 kinds of evidence
  • one language scored; 1 more seen and not scored; 5 items carried no identification
  • 1 of 6 regions, over 1 located subject

How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings