Future Index

Asia-Pacific

The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under asia-pacific. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.

World conditions

A fairly ordinary day

Attention57about usual+12.6 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Attention is calculated

03:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

Medium confidence0.70
2 sourcesSearch & activity2
17 items
Mood+15more positive than usual−1.8 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Mood is calculated

35% positive · 54% neutral · 11% negative

03:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

High confidence0.81
2 sourcesPublic discussion2
108 items
Turbulence22calm−0.9 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Turbulence is calculated

03:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

High confidence0.86
3 sourcesForecast markets1Search & activity2
27 items
DisagreementNot yet

Fewer than two independent communities have said anything about this part of the world, and one community cannot disagree with itself.

Forecast conditions

Forecast Movement58moving+1.8 ptsup over 24 hours

Where the Forecast Movement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Forecast Movement is calculated

03:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:00

09-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-1609-17

08-2008-2709-0309-1009-17

High confidence0.77
1 sourceForecast markets1
5 items

5 questions · 1 source

Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.

The last 24 hours, without the explanations

What changed today

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 66 measurements were compared.

66 changes were compared. Not shown: 47 with nothing to compare against, 19 within their usual range.

All changes today

Signals moving together

  1. EARLY ATTENTION

    Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.

    Japan

    Forecast
    8.5 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract
    Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? from 17.0% to 25.5%
    Public attention
    6.9σ from usual, 2 sources
    Observed order
    3 hours apart

    Strength within early attention: 43%

    • Public discussionhackernews
    • Search & activityinternal_analytics
    • Forecast marketspolymarket

    Medium confidence

    • One forecast contract moved.
    • Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.

  2. QUIET MOVE

    Forecast probability moved while public attention stayed at its usual level.

    Japan

    Forecast
    10.0 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract
    Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? from 17.0% to 27.0%
    Public attention
    0.5σ from usual, 1 source

    Strength within quiet move: 45%

    • Public discussionhackernews
    • Forecast marketspolymarket

    Medium confidence

    • One forecast contract moved.
    • One attention source stood behind this.
    • Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.

Biggest movers

  1. Afghanistan85
    unusually high
    +19.1 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Conflict
  2. Japan60
    about usual
    +9.2 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Politics
  3. New Zealand64
    about usual
    +7.8 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Politics
3 further topics moved less — show them
  1. South Korea56
    about usual
    +5.1 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Politics
  2. Taiwan51
    about usual
    +3.3 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Conflict
  3. Philippines75
    elevated
    +2.5 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Low confidence
    • 3 sources
    • Politics

All measurements and ranges

Trending topics

No topic is unusually busy across enough kinds of source to be listed. This panel is empty when the tracked topics are at their usual levels — it is not a reading of the world at large.

Where sources disagree

No topic currently shows a material difference between how much is being published about it and how much it is being discussed. A comparison needs both sides: a topic only one of them has anything to say about is not a disagreement.

The world by category

Data conditions

How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.

Measurement quality
63%
Coverage
50% — 5 of 10 sources reporting
Freshness
Up to date
Representativeness
Moderate
  • 9 online communities
  • 3 kinds of evidence
  • one language scored; 1 more seen and not scored; 31 items carried no identification
  • 1 of 6 regions, over 17 located subjects

How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings