AttentionPublic discussionHacker News
Attention rose
3.5× its usual variation — larger than usual
+19 mentionsup over a full day
Asia-Pacific
The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under asia-pacific. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.
World conditions
A fairly ordinary day
- Attentionbelow usual
- Moodmore negative than usual
- Turbulenceactive
- Disagreementclear disagreement
- Forecast Movementmoving
Attention39below usual−4.9 ptsdown over 24 hours
Where the Attention figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Attention is calculated06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Mood−21more negative than usual−7.7 ptsdown over 24 hours
Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Mood is calculatedRight now 23% positive · 66% neutral · 12% negative — the figure is measured against its usual mix
06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Turbulence50active−2.9 ptsdown over 24 hours
Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Turbulence is calculated06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Disagreement72clear disagreement+15.4 ptsup over 24 hours
Where the Disagreement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Disagreement is calculated06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Forecast conditions
Forecast Movement51moving−18.8 ptsdown over 24 hours
Where the Forecast Movement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.
How Forecast Movement is calculated06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
16 questions · 2 sources
Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.
Today in brief — the last 24 hours on one page
What changed today
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
AttentionSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
Attention rose
2.2× its usual variation — larger than usual
9views
+6 viewsup over the last 24 hours
Future Index
Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy
Discussion turned more negative
3.3× its usual variation — larger than usual
-93
−106.8 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
2 further changes on this page — show them
Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy
Discussion turned more negative sharply
3.7× its usual variation — much larger than usual
-32
−50.2 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
AttentionPublic discussionHacker News
Attention rose
2.5× its usual variation — larger than usual
+2 mentionsup over a full day
266 changes were compared.
Signals moving together
EARLY ATTENTION
Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.
- Forecast
- 3.6 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 2.2× its usual daily moveWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? opens in a new tab from 5.1% to 1.5%
- Public attention
- 5.4σ from usual, 4 sources
- Observed order
- 4 hours apart
How this was detected
Strength within early attention: 18%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Public discussionMastodon
- Forecast marketsPolymarket
- One forecast contract moved.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
Biggest movers
- Alibaba51about usual+5.1 ptsup over 24 hours
- below usual+4.8 ptsup over 24 hours
- Malaysia50about usual+4.4 ptsup over 24 hours
7 further topics moved less — show them
Trending topics
- One kind of source is unusually busy with this
- One kind of source is unusually busy with this
- 2 kinds of source are unusually busy with this
1 further topic on this list — show it
- One kind of source is unusually busy with this
Where sources disagree
No topic currently shows a material difference between how much is being published about it and how much it is being discussed. A comparison needs both sides: a topic only one of them has anything to say about is not a disagreement.
The world by category
- Politics22 topics
- Attention
- 42 below usual
- Mood
- −5 about as usual
- Turbulence
- 43 active
- Disagreement
- 63 clear disagreement
- Forecast Movement
- 46 some movement
Best-supported question: Xi Jinping out before 2027? opens in a new tab - Economy10 topics
- Attention
- 42 below usual
- Turbulence
- 43 active
Best-supported question: Will Kazakhstan join NATO by 2033? opens in a new tab - Conflict6 topics
- Attention
- 55 about usual
- Mood
- −8 about as usual
- Turbulence
- 34 calm
Best-supported question: Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? opens in a new tab - Technology8 topics
- Mood
- −17 more negative than usual
- Turbulence
- 40 calm
- AI0 topicsNot measured yet
- Crypto0 topicsNot measured yet
- Climate1 topicNot measured yet
- Energy1 topicNot measured yet
- Health0 topicsNot measured yet
- Sports0 topicsNot measured yet
- Entertainment3 topics
- Turbulence
- 61 turbulent
Data conditions
How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.
- Measurement quality
- 73%
- Coverage
- 64% — 7 of 11 sources reporting
- Freshness
- Up to date
- Representativeness
- Moderate
- 8 online communities
- 3 kinds of evidence
- one language scored; 2 more seen and not scored; 78 items carried no identification
- 1 of 6 regions, over 45 located subjects
How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings