AttentionPublic discussionHacker News
Attention rose sharply
4.6× its usual variation — much larger than usual
8
+8 mentionsup over the last 24 hours
Hacker News
Taiwan
Attention around Taiwan is elevated, and has risen over the last 24 hours.
ConflictTW
Signals
- +29.2 ptsup over 24 hoursAttention71elevated
00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
09-1009-1109-1209-1309-1409-1509-16
08-2008-2709-0309-10
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 91unusually highPublic discussionHacker News
- 51about usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 50about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
Medium confidence0.58Up to date3 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion1
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
6 changes were compared. Not shown: 2 with nothing to compare against, 3 within their usual range.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected in this window. A detection needs two layers to have moved measurably over the same topic.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
China angered by Taiwan VP's visit to EU democracy forum
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextChina angered by Taiwan VP's visit to EU democracy forum opens in a new tabDeutsche Welle
Deutsche Welle
Taiwan vice president makes rare Europe visit for conference on democracy
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextTaiwan vice president makes rare Europe visit for conference on democracy opens in a new tabAl Jazeera English
Al Jazeera English
Forecast contracts
The contracts whose probability moved furthest over the last 24 hours — the size of each move and not its direction, measured against that contract's own earlier reading and against no other contract. One row per source's own question; these are not combined into a single figure.
- 4%very unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Sources
3 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion45%90.9
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%50.0
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity45%50.9
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 1.2.0 · What these figures do not say