AttentionPublic discussionHacker News
Attention rose
3.5× its usual variation — larger than usual
+19 mentionsup over a full day
North Korea
Attention around North Korea is elevated, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
ConflictKP
Signals
- Attention73elevated−3.7 ptsdown over 24 hoursOne reading so far
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 85unusually highPublic discussionHacker News
- 77elevatedSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 77elevatedPublic discussionLemmy
- 47about usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 42below usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
Low confidence0.35Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
13 changes were compared.
Across signals
EARLY ATTENTION
Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.
- Forecast
- 3.6 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 2.2× its usual daily moveWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? opens in a new tab from 5.1% to 1.5%
- Public attention
- 5.4σ from usual, 4 sources
- Observed order
- 4 hours apart
How this was detected
Strength within early attention: 18%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Public discussionMastodon
- Forecast marketsPolymarket
- One forecast contract moved.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
FBI blames North Korea for record $6.3bn crypto heist opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
FBI says North Korea behind $6 billion Binance crypto theft opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Deutsche Welle
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
US, South Korea, Japan call for ‘complete denuclearisation’ of North Korea opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Why North Korea's 'elite' hackers are the prime suspect in major Binance hack opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
BBC News
1 independent origin · low confidence
BBC News
Swiss foreign minister talks political ties on rare visit to North Korea opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Seoul fears being slighted as US reaches out to North Korea opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Deutsche Welle
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
7 more posts — show them
The largest theft in history: DPRK behind the $6.4B Binance hack opens in a new tab
Attacker gets away with up to $3 billion from Binance opens in a new tab
US, South Korea, Japan call for ‘complete denuclearisation’ of North Korea opens in a new tab
Kim Jong Un calls for North Korea’s drone technology superiority opens in a new tab
Swiss foreign minister talks political ties on rare visit to North Korea opens in a new tab
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 3%very unlikely−0.7 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 2%very unlikely±0.3 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%85.0
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%41.7
- LemmyPublic discussion20%76.9
- MastodonPublic discussion20%46.8
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%77.1
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
Thank you — a moderator will look at it.
A comment is 1 to 2,000 characters.
Log in to do that.
That topic does not accept comments.
That comment no longer exists.
Too many attempts in a short time. Wait a little and try again.
Writing is paused for a moment. Try again in a few minutes.
The site could not complete that just now. Try again in a few minutes.
No comments yet.