Future Index

Economy in North America

The same four readings, over the topics this product tracks under economy in north america. Every panel below is ranked within that selection rather than filtered out of a world-wide ranking.

World conditions

An unusually active day

AttentionNot yet

This figure has not moved at all across the whole window it is compared against, so there is no spread to place today's reading on.

Mood−23more negative than usual−15.3 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Mood figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Mood is calculated

Right now 30% positive · 35% neutral · 34% negative — the figure is measured against its usual mix

09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.76
3 sourcesPublic discussion3
39 items
Turbulence63turbulent−0.5 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Turbulence figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Turbulence is calculated

09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.88
8 sourcesForecast markets3Search & activity2Public discussion3
102 items
DisagreementNot yet

Fewer than two independent communities have said anything about this part of the world, and one community cannot disagree with itself.

Forecast conditions

Forecast Movement49some movement−24.2 ptsdown over 24 hours

Where the Forecast Movement figure comes from, what it reads and what it does not claim. Method version 5.0.0.

How Forecast Movement is calculated

09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:00

10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01

10-0810-1510-2210-29

High confidence0.89
3 sourcesForecast markets3
27 items

27 questions · 3 sources

Forecast Movement measures how much expectations moved, not whether they moved towards any particular outcome. Why there is no single score, why what we can see is reported separately.

Today in brief — the last 24 hours on one page

What changed today

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

  1. AttentionPublic discussionLemmy

    US recession risk

    Attention rose sharply

    7.2× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    +38 mentionsup over the last 24 hours

  2. Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy

    US labour market

    Discussion turned more negative sharply

    7.9× its usual variation — far larger than usual

    -99

    −106.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours

120 changes were compared.

All changes today

Signals moving together

No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 10 topics: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 4 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.

Biggest movers

  1. elevated
    +16.2 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Economy
  2. about usual
    +13.2 ptsup over 24 hours
    • Medium confidence
    • 5 sources
    • Politics
    • Economy

All measurements and ranges

Trending topics

  1. 2 kinds of source are unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Looked up
    • discounted — few accounts carried the activity
  2. One kind of source is unusually busy with this
    • Discussion
    • Looked up
    • Reported

Where sources disagree

No topic currently shows a material difference between how much is being published about it and how much it is being discussed. A comparison needs both sides: a topic only one of them has anything to say about is not a disagreement.

Data conditions

How well this site can currently see. None of this is a reading of the world, and none of it changes the figures above.

Measurement quality
51%
Coverage
73% — 8 of 11 sources reporting
Freshness
Up to date
Representativeness
Moderate
  • 7 online communities
  • 3 kinds of evidence
  • one language scored; 15 items carried no identification
  • 1 of 6 regions, over 10 located subjects

How these are worked out, and why they are kept separate from the readings