Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy
Discussion turned more negative sharply
7.9× its usual variation — far larger than usual
-99
−106.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
US labour market
Attention around US labour market is below usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
EconomyUS
Signals
- Attention41below usual−12.6 ptsdown over 24 hours
09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 50about usualPublic discussionHacker News
- 46about usualPublic discussionLemmy
- 43below usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 42below usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 34below usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
Low confidence0.38Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
19 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 0 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
1 independent origin · low confidence
Variety
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
1 more post — show them
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 60.50%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 60.50%
34%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 9.0%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 9.0%
10%unlikely−11.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours - Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 57.00%
96%very likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
10 further contracts on this topic — show them
- Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 56.00%
97%very likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 57.00%
95%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 58.00%
89%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2036 be above 56.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 56.00%
96%very likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 56.00%
97%very likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 3.0%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 3.0%
86%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - 23%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 7.5%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 7.5%
20%somewhat unlikely−17.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours - Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2036 be above 58.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 58.00%
84%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2036 be above 57.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 57.00%
93%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%50.0
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%41.7
- LemmyPublic discussion20%45.9
- MastodonPublic discussion20%43.4
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%33.7
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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