AttentionPublic discussionLemmy
Attention rose sharply
5.5× its usual variation — far larger than usual
82mentions
+51 mentionsup over the last 24 hours
Coincided with a change in discussion sentiment.
Iran
Attention around Iran is about usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
ConflictIR
Signals
- Attention58about usual−4.5 ptsdown over 24 hours
06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 94unusually highPublic discussionLemmy
- 72elevatedPublic discussionMastodon
- 42below usualPublic discussionHacker News
- 42below usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 36below usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
Medium confidence0.44Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy
Discussion turned more positive
2.1× its usual variation — larger than usual
12
+15.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
Coincided with a change in attention.
20 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 1 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 0 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
What we know about latest efforts to end US war on Iran opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Iran war live: Araghchi says talks under way on 2-day plan to reopen Hormuz opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
Iran says four tankers on fire after striking mines in Hormuz opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Why gold plunged to its lowest price in a year despite renewed Iran jitters opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
Senators briefed on Trump’s ‘insane’ plan to restart war on Iran opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
US senator briefed on Trump's plans to restart Iran war says proposal is 'insane' opens in a new tab
U.S. Oil Industry Earned Over $130 Billion in Profit During Iran War opens in a new tab
7 more posts — show them
Russian satellites help Iran’s allies strike Saudi Arabia, data and officials say opens in a new tab
Tel Aviv fears US will abandon war on Iran before Israeli goals are met: Report opens in a new tab
The Iran War Might Soon Get Catastrophically Worse opens in a new tab
Trump weighs post-midterms Iran operations opens in a new tab
Iran warns of unfettered retaliation if attacked as mediators try for peace opens in a new tab
Iran lawmakers call for withdrawal from NPT: Will we have war or peace? opens in a new tab
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 27%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 9%unlikely−0.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 4%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
7 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 7%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 16%unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 9%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 19%unlikely±0.3 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 18%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Related topics
Relations a person stated, each with a reason. Every topic keeps its own figures; nothing here is combined.
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%42.4
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%41.7
- LemmyPublic discussion20%93.9
- MastodonPublic discussion20%72.2
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%36.2
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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