Future Index

Topics

Iran

Attention around Iran is about usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.

ConflictIR

Signals

What moved

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 13 measurements were compared.

13 changes were compared. Not shown: 3 with nothing to compare against, 10 within their usual range.

Across signals

No relationships between signals were detected in this window. A detection needs two layers to have moved measurably over the same topic.

What was reported

Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.

  1. Iran war live: Iran’s top diplomat heads to China as war drags on

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    Al Jazeera English

  2. Panic on board Iranian plane as violent shaking rips cabin apart

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    Al Jazeera English

  3. Western intelligence warns of Iranian cyber threats targeting dissidents

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    Al Jazeera English

5 further occurrences on this page — show them
  1. Republican Rep.

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    NPR

  2. Iran war has led to US munitions shortfalls, Pentagon inspector confirms

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    BBC News

  3. Dozens of aircraft, hundreds of buildings: US loss to Iran attacks revealed

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    Al Jazeera English

  4. Iran and America: A tale of two lands and the pistachio between them

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    Deutsche Welle

  5. Iran war live: CENTCOM disputes IRGC claim supertanker struck by Hormuz nav

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    Al Jazeera English

Forecast contracts

The contracts whose probability moved furthest over the last 24 hours — the size of each move and not its direction, measured against that contract's own earlier reading and against no other contract. One row per source's own question; these are not combined into a single figure.

Sources

3 contributing sources — view breakdown

Attention

  • Hacker NewsPublic discussion61.4
  • Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity39.3
  • Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity51.7

How the attention figure is calculated · method version 1.2.0 · What these figures do not say