Forecast contracts — US recession risk
Every contract below is one source's own question, with that source's own probability. They are listed side by side and are not combined into a single figure: this product computes no consensus and does not treat two sources' questions as answers to one question.
Contracts
Every contract linked to this topic, in the order the topic list was seeded in — a launch-time editorial ordering, not a measurement.
Showing the first 25 of 89.
- 6%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 12%unlikely+4.5 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 80%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 7%unlikely+2.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 8%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 14%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely−3.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 11%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 7%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 47%about even±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 14%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 11%unlikely+2.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 5%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 2%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 51%about even+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 14%unlikely+1.5 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 7%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 10%unlikely+0.5 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 4%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 9%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Back to US recession risk · How a contract's figures are calculated