OpenAI
Attention around OpenAI is about usual, and has not moved over the last 24 hours.
AIGLOBAL
Signals
- Attention55about usual±0.0 ptsunchanged over 24 hoursNo history yet
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 77elevatedPublic discussionMastodon
- 59about usualPublic discussionLemmy
- 47about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 46about usualPublic discussionHacker News
- 44below usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
Low confidence0.38Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 23 measurements were compared.
23 changes were compared.
Across signals
EARLY ATTENTION
Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.
- Forecast
- 3.0 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 2.3× its usual daily moveOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? opens in a new tab from 10.0% to 13.0%
- Public attention
- 12.0σ from usual, 5 sources
- Observed order
- 21 hours apart
How this was detected
Strength within early attention: 15%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Public discussionMastodon
- Forecast marketsPolymarket
- Search & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- One forecast contract moved.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
OpenAI pares fundraising goal, now seeking up to $20 billion in latest round opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
OpenAI reportedly lowers funding target for new round opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
TechCrunch
OpenAI reportedly cuts fundraising and valuation targets amid AI jitters opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
1 independent origin · low confidence
Variety
Sam Altman says it’s better for RAM to be in a data center than on your desk opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
The Verge
1 independent origin · low confidence
The Verge
Microsoft recorded $10 billion in revenue from OpenAI opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
TechCrunch
Parents sue OpenAI, alleging GPT-4o coached their daughter off seizure medication opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
TechCrunch
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
7 more posts — show them
OpenAI CEO says it's 'quite terrible' for your PC to have RAM opens in a new tab
OpenAI CEO says it's 'quite terrible' for your PC to have RAM opens in a new tab
OpenAI raises less than half of $30B target opens in a new tab
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Says You Having DRAM Instead of Data Centers Is "Terrible" opens in a new tab
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 1%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 5%very unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
15 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 15%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 1%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Anthropic
99%very likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - 1%very unlikely−0.9 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 26%somewhat unlikely−20.3 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 51%about even+11.2 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 33%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 90%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 64%somewhat likely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 9%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely−1.2 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 95%likely+0.7 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 2%very unlikely±0.2 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? opens in a new tab
Outcome: OpenAI
5%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Related topics
Relations a person stated, each with a reason. Every topic keeps its own figures; nothing here is combined.
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%46.0
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%47.1
- LemmyPublic discussion20%59.0
- MastodonPublic discussion20%77.1
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%44.3
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
Thank you — a moderator will look at it.
A comment is 1 to 2,000 characters.
Log in to do that.
That topic does not accept comments.
That comment no longer exists.
Too many attempts in a short time. Wait a little and try again.
Writing is paused for a moment. Try again in a few minutes.
The site could not complete that just now. Try again in a few minutes.
No comments yet.