Future Index

Topics

Ukraine

Attention around Ukraine is about usual, and has risen over the last 24 hours.

PoliticsUA

Signals

What moved

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 27 measurements were compared.

27 changes were compared.

Across signals

No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 0 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.

What was reported

Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.

  1. Turkiye’s Erdogan urges Russia and Ukraine to stop Black Sea attacks opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  2. Ukraine news: Evacuees from Russian-occupied Oleshky reach Kyiv-controlled territory opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Deutsche Welle

  3. Hundreds from Russian-occupied Oleshky land in Belarus en route to Ukraine opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

5 further occurrences on this page — show them
  1. Dead dolphins, naval mines: Russia-Ukraine war destroys the Black Sea opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  2. US approves sale of 500 Patriot missiles to Ukraine opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC News

  3. Ukraine: Oleshky residents evacuate war-ravaged city opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Deutsche Welle

  4. Russian, Ukrainian humanitarian officials enter Oleshky opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  5. Ukraine invests in firepower as it inflicts a new Russian casualty record opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

What people are discussing

Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.

  1. US approves potential $2.1 billion sale of scarce Patriot missiles to Ukraine opens in a new tab

    15 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  2. Ukraine's General Staff reports record Russian losses of over 49,000 in October opens in a new tab

    13 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  3. US greenlights 500 Patriot missiles for Ukraine, with $2.1 billion to be paid by allies opens in a new tab

    11 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

7 more posts — show them
  1. Ukrainian arms maker Fire Point says it has found workarounds to complete missions without SpaceX opens in a new tab

    7 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  2. Ukrainian arms maker Fire Point says it has found workarounds to complete missions without SpaceX opens in a new tab

    3 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  3. Dead dolphins, naval mines: Russia-Ukraine war destroys the Black Sea opens in a new tab

    shared in 3 postsMastodon

  4. Are Trump’s global actions, from Ukraine to Iran, going to hurt him in elections? opens in a new tab

    shared in 3 postsMastodon

  5. Turkiye’s Erdogan urges Russia and Ukraine to stop Black Sea attacks opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  6. Evacuees of Russian-occupied Oleshky reunited with families opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  7. Evacuees from Russian-occupied Oleshky arrive in Ukraine via Belarus opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

Forecast contracts

One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.

  1. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    18%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    31%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    15%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
15 further contracts on this topic — show them
  1. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    24%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    11%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    68%somewhat likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  4. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    7%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  5. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    6%unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  6. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    31%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  7. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely−0.7 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
  8. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    6%unlikely−1.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
  9. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    38%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  10. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    27%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  11. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    5%unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  12. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    56%about even±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  13. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    1%very unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  14. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    2%very unlikely±0.4 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  15. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    9%unlikely+1.5 ptsup over the last 24 hours

Readers' discussion on this site

Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.

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Related topics

Relations a person stated, each with a reason. Every topic keeps its own figures; nothing here is combined.

Sources

5 contributing sources — view breakdown

Attention

  • Hacker NewsPublic discussion38.8
  • Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity50.0
  • LemmyPublic discussion44.2
  • MastodonPublic discussion60.9
  • Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity41.2

How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say