Future Index

Topics

Russia

Attention around Russia is below usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.

PoliticsRU

Signals

What moved

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

  1. AttentionPublic discussionLemmy

    Attention rose

    2.5× its usual variation — larger than usual

    120mentions

    +46 mentionsup over the last 24 hours

23 changes were compared.

Across signals

No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 1 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.

What was reported

Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.

  1. Turkiye’s Erdogan urges Russia and Ukraine to stop Black Sea attacks opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  2. Rival US and Russian resolutions on Western Sahara fail at UN opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  3. Dead dolphins, naval mines: Russia-Ukraine war destroys the Black Sea opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

5 further occurrences on this page — show them
  1. Why are US, Russia and China racing to put nuclear reactors on the moon? opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  2. UN peacekeeping mission in Western Sahara to expire amid US, Russia vetoes opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Deutsche Welle

  3. Russia’s Novaya Gazeta ‘killed off’ after murders, arrests and pressure opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  4. European diplomats shun Russia at G20 gathering in the US opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Deutsche Welle

  5. They strangled us, says founder of Russian newspaper shut under pressure from authorities opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC News

What people are discussing

Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.

  1. US cancels G20 ‘family photo’ after Australia, UK and others refuse to appear with Russia opens in a new tab

    32 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  2. ‘Russia Russia Russia’ Was No Hoax opens in a new tab

    22 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  3. Pentagon tells Europeans to cool their rhetoric on Russia, sources say opens in a new tab

    16 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

7 more posts — show them
  1. Ukraine's General Staff reports record Russian losses of over 49,000 in October opens in a new tab

    13 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  2. More than 370 flights canceled or delayed in Moscow as drones swarm the capital opens in a new tab

    8 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  3. Russia is back in the hockey world championships after sports court ruling opens in a new tab

    8 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  4. UK tells Putin via his foreign minister that he will not win war opens in a new tab

    6 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  5. Russia Expands Practice of Rounding Up Men on Streets to Send Them to War opens in a new tab

    6 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  6. Russian satellites help Iran’s allies strike Saudi Arabia, data and officials say opens in a new tab

    6 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  7. Russia's Steel Plants Devastated by Drone Strikes | Jake Broe opens in a new tab

    6 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

Forecast contracts

One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.

  1. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    18%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    11%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
10 further contracts on this topic — show them
  1. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    22%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    7%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    35%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  4. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    4%very unlikely±0.3 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  5. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    23%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  6. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    56%about even±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  7. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    18%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  8. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    2%very unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  9. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    30%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  10. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    9%unlikely+1.5 ptsup over the last 24 hours

Readers' discussion on this site

Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.

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Related topics

Relations a person stated, each with a reason. Every topic keeps its own figures; nothing here is combined.

Sources

5 contributing sources — view breakdown

Attention

  • Hacker NewsPublic discussion26.4
  • Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity41.7
  • LemmyPublic discussion77.9
  • MastodonPublic discussion55.9
  • Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity21.0

How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say