Texas
Attention around Texas is about usual, and has risen over the last 24 hours.
The state's government, its governor and its politics.
PoliticsUS
Signals
- Attention55about usual+5.4 ptsup over 24 hours
09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 70elevatedPublic discussionLemmy
- 56about usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 54about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 50about usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 42below usualPublic discussionHacker News
Medium confidence0.44Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 12 measurements were compared.
12 changes were compared.
Across signals
EARLY ATTENTION
Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.
- Forecast
- 7.5 pts over 24 hours, across 2 contracts, 2.3× its usual daily moveWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? opens in a new tab from 39.0% to 31.5%
- Public attention
- 12.0σ from usual, 4 sources
- Observed order
- 3 hours apart
How this was detected
Strength within early attention: 38%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Public discussionMastodon
- Forecast marketsPolymarket
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
‘Paycheck to paycheck’: Texas border voters shed parties amid economic woes opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
1 independent origin · low confidence
NPR
Texas grand jury indicts ICE officer accused of running over man in Houston opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
8-K - Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (0001849466) (Filer) opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official source8-K - PRO DEX INC (0000788920) (Filer) opens in a new tab
- Official source8-K - PRECISION OPTICS CORPORATION, INC. (0000867840) (Filer) opens in a new tab
SEC EDGAR
8-K - Capri Holdings Ltd (0001530721) (Filer) opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official source8-K - CHURCH & DWIGHT CO INC /DE/ (0000313927) (Filer) opens in a new tab
- Official source8-K - TEXAS NEW MEXICO POWER CO (0000022767) (Filer) opens in a new tab
- Official source8-K - TXNM ENERGY INC (0001108426) (Filer) opens in a new tab
- Official source8-K - PUBLIC SERVICE CO OF NEW MEXICO (0000081023) (Filer) opens in a new tab
SEC EDGAR
Texas Republican group seeks to block certification of state’s election opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Are Texans divided over Republican and Democrat candidates? opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Voters in Texas agree: They hate data centers opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
The Verge
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
7 more posts — show them
Ken Paxton’s Office Sues Over Efforts to Get People of Color to Vote opens in a new tab
ICE agent charged after ramming unmarked SUV into man in Texas opens in a new tab
‘Paycheck to paycheck’: Texas border voters shed parties amid economic woes opens in a new tab
Texas grand jury indicts ICE officer accused of running over man in Houston opens in a new tab
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 66%somewhat likely+2.1 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 70%somewhat likely−1.2 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 71%somewhat likely−1.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
2 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 34%somewhat unlikely−2.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 30%somewhat unlikely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%41.7
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%53.9
- LemmyPublic discussion20%70.5
- MastodonPublic discussion20%50.0
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%55.9
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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