Discussion sentimentPublic discussionLemmy
Discussion turned more positive sharply
4.9× its usual variation — much larger than usual
58
+51.2 ptsup over the last 24 hours
Tesla
Attention around Tesla is below usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
TechnologyGLOBAL
Signals
- Attention43below usual−1.3 ptsdown over 24 hours
09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 61about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 58about usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 43below usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 37below usualPublic discussionHacker News
- 29below usualPublic discussionLemmy
Medium confidence0.41Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
13 changes were compared.
Across signals
EARLY ATTENTION
Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.
- Forecast
- 3.1 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 2.0× its usual daily move
- Public attention
- 5.5σ from usual, 5 sources
- Observed order
- 14 hours apart
How this was detected
Strength within early attention: 16%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Forecast marketsManifold Markets
- Public discussionMastodon
- Search & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- One forecast contract moved.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
CONFIRMED SHIFT
Forecast probability and public attention moved in the same window.
- Forecast
- 3.9 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 2.4× its usual daily move
- Public attention
- 5.5σ from usual, 5 sources
How this was detected
Strength within confirmed shift: 19%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Forecast marketsManifold Markets
- Public discussionMastodon
- Search & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- One forecast contract moved.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
Waymo’s next robotaxi is a purpose-built Toyota bZ4X opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
The Verge
SpaceX, Tesla and Anthropic may reshape the S&P 500—but not right away opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
1 further occurrence on this page — show it
Tesla turns to Turo to boost adoption of Full Self-Driving (Supervised) opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
TechCrunch
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 6%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 35%somewhat unlikely±0.3 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
3 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 4%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Related topics
Relations a person stated, each with a reason. Every topic keeps its own figures; nothing here is combined.
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%37.3
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%61.4
- LemmyPublic discussion20%29.4
- MastodonPublic discussion20%58.4
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%42.7
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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