Future Index

Topics

Association football

Attention around Association football is below usual, and has risen over the last 24 hours.

SportsGLOBAL

Signals

What moved

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 45 measurements were compared.

45 changes were compared.

Across signals

  1. EARLY ATTENTION

    Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.

    Association football

    Forecast
    3.8 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 2.2× its usual daily move
    Public attention
    12.0σ from usual, 4 sources
    Observed order
    7 hours apart
    How this was detected

    Strength within early attention: 19%

    • Public discussionHacker News
    • Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
    • Public discussionLemmy
    • Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    • Public discussionMastodon
    • One forecast contract moved.
    • Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
  2. CONFIRMED SHIFT

    Forecast probability and public attention moved in the same window.

    Association football

    Forecast
    3.8 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 2.2× its usual daily move
    Public attention
    12.0σ from usual, 4 sources
    How this was detected

    Strength within confirmed shift: 19%

    • Public discussionHacker News
    • Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
    • Public discussionLemmy
    • Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    • Public discussionMastodon
    • One forecast contract moved.
    • Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.

What was reported

Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.

  1. Centre Hawkins determined to make World Cup opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC Sport

  2. How 'brave & balanced' Brighton beat Man City opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC Sport

  3. Has Martinez become a liability for Man Utd? opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC Sport

5 further occurrences on this page — show them
  1. Are Manchester United really at risk of a relegation scrap? opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC Sport

  2. Kane misses Bayern penalty before late Dortmund goal earns draw opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC Sport

  3. European football: Kane misses penalty as Dortmund share spoils in Der Klassiker opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    The Guardian

  4. Chelsea beat 10-man Man Utd to pile more pressure on Carrick opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC Sport

  5. Brighton pick up first away league victory over Man City to go third opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC Sport

What people are discussing

Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.

  1. Coventry win leaves Man United on brink of Premier League relegation zone opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  2. Brighton shock Man City, closing gap on Premier League leader to two points opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  3. Chelsea beat Man United as Martinez sent off to pile pressure on Carrick opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

7 more posts — show them
  1. Aston Villa to sue ex-Liverpool star Carragher over ‘unacceptable insults’ opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  2. Chelsea vs Manchester United: LIVE – Premier League opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  3. Liverpool vs Arsenal: Premier League – Predictions, news, teams, lineups opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  4. Hakimi’s hat-trick guides PSG to stunning 5-1 win at Le Havre in Ligue 1 opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  5. Barcelona’s Flick praises Yamal’s ‘mentality’ after missing out on Ballon d’Or opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  6. Chelsea vs Manchester United: Premier League – teams, prediction, lineups opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

  7. Arsenal boss Arteta fires ‘Disneyland’ warning at Dowman after red card opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

Forecast contracts

One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.

  1. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    7%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
14 further contracts on this topic — show them
  1. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  4. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely−10.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
  5. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  6. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    100%very likely+30.3 ptsup over the last 24 hours
  7. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikelyNo movement recorded over 24 hours
  8. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  9. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely−20.1 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
  10. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  11. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  12. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  13. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  14. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours

Readers' discussion on this site

Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.

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Sources

5 contributing sources — view breakdown

Attention

  • Hacker NewsPublic discussion50.0
  • Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity65.6
  • LemmyPublic discussion50.0
  • MastodonPublic discussion13.3
  • Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity36.4

How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say