Future Index

Topics

Russia–Ukraine war

Attention around Russia–Ukraine war is elevated, and has risen over the last 24 hours.

ConflictUARU

Signals

What moved

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

  1. AttentionSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)

    Attention rose

    2.1× its usual variation — larger than usual

    1,183

    +73 viewsup over a full day

    Wikimedia

5 changes were compared. Not shown: 3 with nothing to compare against, 1 within their usual range.

Across signals

No relationships between signals were detected in this window. A detection needs two layers to have moved measurably over the same topic.

What was reported

Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.

  1. Ukraine's fortress cities under fire as Russia bids to seize rest of Donbas

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    BBC News

Forecast contracts

The contracts whose probability moved furthest over the last 24 hours — the size of each move and not its direction, measured against that contract's own earlier reading and against no other contract. One row per source's own question; these are not combined into a single figure.

Sources

2 contributing sources — view breakdown

Attention

  • Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity50.0
  • Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity74.4

How the attention figure is calculated · method version 1.2.0 · What these figures do not say