NATO
Attention around NATO is about usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
ConflictGLOBAL
Signals
- Attention50about usual−10.7 ptsdown over 24 hours
06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 69elevatedPublic discussionMastodon
- 50about usualPublic discussionHacker News
- 50about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 47about usualPublic discussionLemmy
- 39below usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
Medium confidence0.41Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 18 measurements were compared.
18 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 0 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
Nothing was reported on NATO in the last 7 days.
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
3 more posts — show them
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 31%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 15%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will Alexander Stubb be the next Secretary General of NATO? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Alexander Stubb
13%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
9 further contracts on this topic — show them
- Will Kaja Kallas be the next Secretary General of NATO? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Kaja Kallas
16%unlikely−0.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours - 13%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 1%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 35%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 27%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will Ben Wallace be the next Secretary General of NATO? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Ben Wallace
4%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - 1%very unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 4%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Related topics
Relations a person stated, each with a reason. Every topic keeps its own figures; nothing here is combined.
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%50.0
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%50.0
- LemmyPublic discussion20%46.9
- MastodonPublic discussion20%69.3
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%38.7
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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