Bitcoin
Attention around Bitcoin is elevated, and has not moved over the last 24 hours.
CryptoGLOBAL
Signals
- Attention70elevated±0.0 ptsunchanged over 24 hoursNo history yet
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 98unusually highSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 58about usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 55about usualPublic discussionLemmy
- 52about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 50about usualPublic discussionHacker News
Low confidence0.35Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 19 measurements were compared.
19 changes were compared.
Across signals
EARLY ATTENTION
Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.
- Forecast
- 4.1 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 3.0× its usual daily moveBitcoin below $55K in 2026? opens in a new tab from 7.4% to 11.5%
- Public attention
- 8.5σ from usual, 4 sources
- Observed order
- 18 hours apart
How this was detected
Strength within early attention: 20%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Forecast marketsManifold Markets
- Public discussionMastodon
- One forecast contract moved.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
18 years in, what has Bitcoin truly done? opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
Why bitcoin held up better after the record Binance hack opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 2%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 11%unlikely+0.6 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 31%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
4 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 50%about even±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 33%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 2%very unlikely−0.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Related topics
Relations a person stated, each with a reason. Every topic keeps its own figures; nothing here is combined.
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%50.0
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%52.1
- LemmyPublic discussion20%54.6
- MastodonPublic discussion20%58.2
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%97.6
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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