AI investment
Attention around AI investment is about usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
Signals
- Attention47about usual−6.8 ptsdown over 24 hours
06:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 53about usualPublic discussionLemmy
- 48about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 46about usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 42below usualPublic discussionHacker News
Low confidence0.39Up to date4 sourcesSearch & activity1Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 10 measurements were compared.
10 changes were compared.
Across signals
EARLY ATTENTION
Public discussion rose before the forecast contracts moved.
- Forecast
- 3.3 pts over 24 hours, across 1 contract, 2.6× its usual daily moveWill there be an AI bubble before 2030? opens in a new tab from 68.6% to 71.9%
- Public attention
- 5.4σ from usual, 4 sources
- Observed order
- 23 hours apart
How this was detected
Strength within early attention: 17%
- Public discussionHacker News
- Search & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- Public discussionLemmy
- Forecast marketsManifold Markets
- Public discussionMastodon
- One forecast contract moved.
- Some of the underlying activity was discounted as concentrated.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
These firms you've never heard of are feeding fears the AI bubble could burst opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
BBC News
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
Meta, SpaceX, Anthropic stoke the AI funding frenzy. What it means for our stocks opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
1 further occurrence on this page — show it
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Stock Market Bloodbath Spikes Fears of AI Bubble Bursting opens in a new tab
Stock Market Bloodbath Spikes Fears of AI Bubble Bursting opens in a new tab
7 more posts — show them
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 72%somewhat likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 9%unlikely±0.4 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Sources
4 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion30%41.7
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%47.6
- LemmyPublic discussion30%53.5
- MastodonPublic discussion30%46.0
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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