Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.00%?
Probability
This source has not reported a probability for this contract yet.
Movement
Movement is computed once this contract has been observed at least twice. Nothing has been computed for it yet.
History
No observations of this contract in the last 7 days.
What was reported
Occurrences on the topics this contract is linked to. Each entry is one occurrence, however many outlets carried it.
What to know about US Federal Reserve’s first interest rate hike in 3 years
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextWhat to know about US Federal Reserve’s first interest rate hike in 3 years opens in a new tabAl Jazeera English
Al Jazeera English
Watch: Why has the Federal Reserve raised interest rates?
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextWatch: Why has the Federal Reserve raised interest rates? opens in a new tabBBC News
BBC News
US Fed raises key rate for first time in 3 years
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextUS Fed raises key rate for first time in 3 years opens in a new tabDeutsche Welle
Deutsche Welle
16 further occurrences on this page — show them
US Fed raises interest rates as inflation weighs on economy
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextUS Fed raises interest rates as inflation weighs on economy opens in a new tabAl Jazeera English
Al Jazeera English
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official sourceFederal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting opens in a new tabBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary report
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official sourceFederal Reserve issues FOMC statement opens in a new tabBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary report
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Fed expected to raise interest rates.
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextFed expected to raise interest rates. And, board votes to close Kennedy Center opens in a new tabNpr
NPR
The Fed is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in 3 years
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextThe Fed is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in 3 years opens in a new tabNpr
NPR
Federal Reserve Board announces termination of enforcement actions with United Texas Bank, Quontic Bank Acquisition Corp., and Quontic Bank Holdings Corp.
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official sourceFederal Reserve Board announces termination of enforcement actions with United Texas Bank, Quontic Bank Acquisition Corp., and Quontic Bank Holdings Corp. opens in a new tabBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary report
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
US Fed chair warns inflation progress insufficient, hints at rate hikes
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextUS Fed chair warns inflation progress insufficient, hints at rate hikes opens in a new tabAl Jazeera English
Al Jazeera English
Fed's Kevin Warsh warns inflation is too high, sparking bets rate hikes are coming
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextFed's Kevin Warsh warns inflation is too high, sparking bets rate hikes are coming opens in a new tabNpr
NPR
Experts warn more flooding might hit Nepal.
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextExperts warn more flooding might hit Nepal. And, Fed chairman to give key address opens in a new tabNpr
NPR
The stakes as high as Kevin Warsh is set to give his first major speech as Fed Chair
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextThe stakes as high as Kevin Warsh is set to give his first major speech as Fed Chair opens in a new tabNpr
NPR
Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Banco Popular de Puerto Rico
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official sourceFederal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Banco Popular de Puerto Rico opens in a new tabBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary report
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook denounces Trump’s mortgage fraud claims
1 independent origin · low confidence
Reports
- News contextFederal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook denounces Trump’s mortgage fraud claims opens in a new tabAl Jazeera English
Al Jazeera English
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by National Westminster Bank Plc
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official sourceFederal Reserve Board announces approval of application by National Westminster Bank Plc opens in a new tabBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary report
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with SouthPoint Bancshares, Inc.
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official sourceFederal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with SouthPoint Bancshares, Inc. and announces termination of enforcement action with Deutsche Bank AG, DB USA Corporation, and Deutsche Bank AG New York Branch opens in a new tabBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary report
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Regions Bank and former employee of United Community Bank
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official sourceFederal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Regions Bank and former employee of United Community Bank opens in a new tabBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary report
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, July 28–29, 2026
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official sourceMinutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, July 28–29, 2026 opens in a new tabBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary report
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Resolution
- StatusOpen
- Closes
- ResolvedNot available
- Settles againstNot available
- ThresholdNot available
Settlement rules: Not available.
Source
- SourceKalshi
- KindForecast markets
- Contract id
KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-33JAN01-T4.00
Kalshi
This source's terms require a link back to the contract. Future Index does not yet store one, so the identifier above is shown instead.
Topics
- us-federal-reserve
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