US Federal Reserve
Attention around US Federal Reserve is about usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
EconomyUS
Signals
- Attention50about usual−11.0 ptsdown over 24 hours
09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 56about usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 50about usualPublic discussionHacker News
- 50about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 50about usualPublic discussionLemmy
- 42below usualPublic discussionMastodon
Medium confidence0.41Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 20 measurements were compared.
20 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 1 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
1 independent origin · low confidence
Variety
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
St. Louis Fed's Musalem: Another rate hike needed 'soon' opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Extortion group leaks keys to bank vendor's Fed firewall opens in a new tab
The Fed Decides at 11 A.M. Arizona Time. Your Grocery Bill Already Voted. opens in a new tab
3 more posts — show them
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.25%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 3.25%
37%somewhat unlikely−16.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours - 0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.50%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 4.50%
48%about even±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
10 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 97%very likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.75%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 1.75%
70%somewhat likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - 2%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.75%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 1.75%
75%somewhat likely+4.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours - Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 1.00%
77%somewhat likely+2.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours - Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.25%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 2.25%
62%somewhat likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.25%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 1.25%
76%somewhat likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.75%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 5.75%
36%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.00%? opens in a new tab
Outcome: Above 3.00%
51%about even+14.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
Related topics
Relations a person stated, each with a reason. Every topic keeps its own figures; nothing here is combined.
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%50.0
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%50.0
- LemmyPublic discussion20%50.0
- MastodonPublic discussion20%41.7
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%56.5
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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