Discussion sentimentPublic discussionMastodon
Discussion turned more positive
2.1× its usual variation — larger than usual
41
+38.1 ptsup over the last 24 hours
US state politics
Attention around US state politics is about usual, and has risen over the last 24 hours.
Governors, legislatures, ballot measures and recalls.
PoliticsUS
Signals
- Attention54about usual+5.0 ptsup over 24 hoursOne reading so far
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 58about usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 50about usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 50about usualPublic discussionLemmy
Low confidence0.33Up to date4 sourcesSearch & activity1Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
20 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 1 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 0 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
Nothing was reported on US state politics in the last 7 days.
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 22%somewhat unlikely−1.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 93%likelyNo movement recorded over 24 hours
- 15%unlikely−2.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
9 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 66%somewhat likely+2.1 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 65%somewhat likely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 86%likely+2.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 82%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 19%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 7%unlikelyNo movement recorded over 24 hours
- 35%somewhat unlikely−1.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 34%somewhat unlikely−2.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 79%somewhat likely+2.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
Sources
3 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%50.0
- LemmyPublic discussion45%50.0
- MastodonPublic discussion45%58.4
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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