US Congress
Attention around US Congress is elevated, and has not moved over the last 24 hours.
The House, the Senate, and the legislation and shutdowns that pass through them.
PoliticsUS
Signals
- Attention65elevated±0.0 ptsunchanged over 24 hoursNo history yet
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 82elevatedSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 68elevatedSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 58about usualPublic discussionHacker News
High confidence0.81Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 41 measurements were compared.
41 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 1 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 1 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
1 independent origin · low confidence
NPR
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
These 10 megadonors have spent a total of $1 billion on the midterm elections opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
MarketWatch
Can Democrats win the US Senate? 10 key midterm races to watch opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
The staggering $446m Elon Musk has spent on the US midterms – visualized opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
The Guardian
Can I trust the polls? And other questions from listeners about the 2026 midterms opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
NPR
US midterms: 3 days to go – What latest polls say as early voting surges opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Why Did Meta Suspend a US Senate Candidate's Instagram in the Middle of a Rally? opens in a new tab
Why Is Israel Running TV Ads in Iowa Ahead of the Midterms? opens in a new tab
7 more posts — show them
Gasoline Up 34% and Heating Oil Up 74% as Voters Head to the Midterms opens in a new tab
Oh wise pollsters from beyond, who will win the 2026 US Midterm elections? opens in a new tab
Abdul El-Sayed’s Senate campaign asks Haley Stevens to stay away in Michigan opens in a new tab
An ‘empathy gap' divides Americans ahead of the midterms, says PRRI report opens in a new tab
Trump’s Initial Attack on the Midterms Has Been Effectively Thwarted opens in a new tab
Centrist Democrats Would Rather Lose the Senate Than Win With El-Sayed opens in a new tab
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
Showing 25 of 26; 1 more is linked to this topic and not listed here.
- 27%somewhat unlikelyNo movement recorded over 24 hours
- 95%likely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 79%somewhat likely+4.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
22 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 1%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 95%very likely±0.4 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 5%very unlikely−1.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 91%likely−0.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 70%somewhat likely−1.2 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 72%somewhat likely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 70%somewhat likely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 5%very unlikely±0.2 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 73%somewhat likely+0.6 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 21%somewhat unlikely−5.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 74%somewhat likelyNo movement recorded over 24 hours
- 70%somewhat likely+1.8 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely−1.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 9%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 27%somewhat unlikely±0.3 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 71%somewhat likely−1.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 32%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 72%somewhat likely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 2%very unlikely−0.6 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 30%somewhat unlikely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
Sources
3 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion60%58.5
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%82.5
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%67.9
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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