The papacy
Attention around The papacy is elevated, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
PoliticsVA
Signals
- Attention69elevated−3.2 ptsdown over 24 hoursOne reading so far
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 78elevatedPublic discussionLemmy
- 76elevatedSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 59about usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 57about usualPublic discussionHacker News
- 42below usualSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
Medium confidence0.40Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 7 measurements were compared.
7 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 1 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
Pope Leo becomes first pontiff to vote in US general election opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Pope Leo XIV becomes first pontiff to vote in a US election opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
BBC News
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Pope Leo will vote from the Vatican, by mail, in Illinois' midterm election opens in a new tab
Pope Leo will vote from the Vatican, by mail, in Illinois' midterm election opens in a new tab
7 more posts — show them
Pope Leo XIV becomes first pontiff to vote in a US election opens in a new tab
Pope Leo makes history by voting in US midterms | CNN opens in a new tab
Pope Leo becomes first pontiff to vote in US general election opens in a new tab
Pope Leo will vote from the Vatican, by mail, in Illinois' midterm election opens in a new tab
Melania hijacked the Pope’s ceasefire as Catholic support for Trump craters opens in a new tab
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- Who will the next Pope be? — Peter Erdo opens in a new tab
Outcome: Peter Erdo
3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - Who will the next Pope be? — Luis Antonio Tagle opens in a new tab
Outcome: Luis Antonio Tagle
11%unlikely+0.5 ptsup over the last 24 hours - Who will the next Pope be? — Pietro Parolin opens in a new tab
Outcome: Pietro Parolin
5%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
1 further contract on this topic — show it
- 0%very unlikely−1.2 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%56.8
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%41.7
- LemmyPublic discussion20%78.0
- MastodonPublic discussion20%59.3
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%76.2
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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