Future Index

Topics

Donald Trump

Attention around Donald Trump is about usual, and has not moved over the last 24 hours.

PoliticsUS

Signals

What moved

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

  1. Discussion sentimentPublic discussionHacker News

    Discussion turned more positive

    2.1× its usual variation — larger than usual

    58

    +52.3 ptsup over the last 24 hours

47 changes were compared.

Across signals

No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 1 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 0 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.

What was reported

Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.

  1. ‘SNL’ Cold Open Crashed by Tom Hanks as David S. Pumpkins, Nicki Minaj and Donald Trump, Who Admits He ‘Might Be Gay’ opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Variety

  2. Trump grants visa for mother of Ghanaian boy killed in NYC — Mamdani opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Deutsche Welle

  3. Judge orders Trump administration to stop threatening US election officials opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    BBC News

5 further occurrences on this page — show them
  1. Judge Dismisses Trump’s Wall Street Journal Defamation Lawsuit Over Published Epstein ‘Birthday Book’ for a Second Time opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Variety

  2. Virginia and D.C. sue to block construction of Trump arch opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    NPR

  3. Trump loses legal battle over Epstein-linked Wall Street Journal case opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  4. Legal filing questions Trump’s claims of non-citizen voting in California opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  5. Trump defamation suit against Murdoch, WSJ over Epstein letter dismissed with prejudice opens in a new tab

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    CNBC

What people are discussing

Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.

  1. Why Is the Media Ignoring the Stunning New Trump-Epstein Allegations? opens in a new tab

    81 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  2. Trump Suggests Ilhan Omar, a US Citizen, Doesn’t Have Constitutional Rights opens in a new tab

    49 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  3. Democrats Demand Answers on What Trump Is Telling AI Chatbots opens in a new tab

    35 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

7 more posts — show them
  1. Trump Phone Durability Test - Yes, it’s as dumb as you thought opens in a new tab

    28 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  2. Federal judge signals she may halt construction on Trump’s arch opens in a new tab

    16 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  3. Vote Republican, or else: How Trump is dangling government help on the campaign trail opens in a new tab

    16 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  4. Surface-to-air missiles installed at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago mansion opens in a new tab

    15 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  5. As Trump escalates extreme attacks, Democrats – finally – rally round El-Sayed opens in a new tab

    14 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  6. Did your company donate to Trump’s ballroom project? Call your lawyer. opens in a new tab

    11 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  7. Magyars Regierung will mit Trump die "Antifa-Ost" bekämpfen opens in a new tab

    11 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

Forecast contracts

One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.

Showing 25 of 30; 5 more are linked to this topic and not listed here.

  1. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    36%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    15%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    32%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
22 further contracts on this topic — show them
  1. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    1%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    27%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    3%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  4. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    8%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  5. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely−0.6 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
  6. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    31%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  7. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    5%very unlikely+1.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
  8. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    5%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  9. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    8%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  10. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    4%very unlikely±0.2 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  11. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    18%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  12. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    9%unlikely−0.5 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
  13. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    7%unlikely±0.4 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  14. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    13%unlikely−0.9 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
  15. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    3%very unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  16. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    86%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  17. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    16%unlikely+1.5 ptsup over the last 24 hours
  18. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    9%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  19. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    28%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  20. Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    2%very unlikely±0.4 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  21. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    3%very unlikely±0.3 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  22. Forecast marketsPolymarket
    1%very unlikely−2.1 ptsdown over the last 24 hours

Readers' discussion on this site

Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.

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Sources

3 contributing sources — view breakdown

Attention

  • Hacker NewsPublic discussion56.2
  • Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity64.0
  • Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity59.2

How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say