Future Index

Topics

China

Attention around China is about usual, and has not moved over the last 24 hours.

PoliticsCN

Signals

What moved

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 21 measurements were compared.

21 changes were compared.

Across signals

No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 0 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 1 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.

What was reported

Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.

  1. India’s largest dam planned to counter China faces Indigenous revolt opens in a new tab

    News context

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  2. Anti-corruption and party discipline: takeaways from from this week's key political meeting in Beijing opens in a new tab

    News context

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    NPR

  3. Nvidia’s Megaspeed ties show potential blind spots in the U.S. effort to block China from accessing advanced chips opens in a new tab

    News context

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    MarketWatch

5 further occurrences on this page — show them

  1. Why are US, Russia and China racing to put nuclear reactors on the moon? opens in a new tab

    News context

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  2. Apple Intelligence is finally coming to China with iOS 27.3 opens in a new tab

    News context

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    The Verge

  3. Report: Trump did nothing with intel that China planted spy close to Nvidia CEO opens in a new tab

    News context

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Ars Technica

  4. France football chief backs Real Madrid’s Mbappe after China apology opens in a new tab

    News context

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Al Jazeera English

  5. U.S. investigated Chinese spy plot aimed at Nvidia CEO opens in a new tab

    News context

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    TechCrunch

What people are discussing

Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.

  1. ‘It’s only when you see 49-ton trucks in China running on batteries that you realize how serious electrification is’: Octopus Energy CEO Greg Jackson on Europe’s incumbency problem opens in a new tab

    31 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  2. Beijing Queer film festival cancelled after harassment from authorities as forums for discussion of feminist and LGBTQ+ views face growing intolerance from Chinese state, say experts opens in a new tab

    22 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  3. China's Xi calls on EU to work with China, says Beijing handles ties with sincerity, goodwill opens in a new tab

    9 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

7 more posts — show them

  1. Beijing Queer film festival cancelled after harassment from authorities as forums for discussion of feminist and LGBTQ+ views face growing intolerance from Chinese state, say experts opens in a new tab

    6 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  2. China denies allegations of spy operation targeting Nvidia CEO opens in a new tab

    5 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  3. Asian Submarine Cables at Risk from China: Report Finds Beijing Building Tools to Sabotage Cables Without Open Conflict opens in a new tab

    5 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  4. Big Trouble in Little China, John Carpenter (1986) opens in a new tab

    3 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  5. Chinese AI chipmaker Iluvatar CoreX says new GPU matches Nvidia's H200 opens in a new tab

    3 comments7 pointsHacker Newsdiscussion opens in a new tab

  6. In Nanning, China, young people can earn free rent by volunteering at a care home. opens in a new tab

    2 commentsLemmydiscussion opens in a new tab

  7. Why are US, Russia and China racing to put nuclear reactors on the moon? opens in a new tab

    shared in 2 postsMastodon

Forecast contracts

One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.

  1. Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    5%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    2%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsPolymarket
    2%very unlikely±0.4 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
8 further contracts on this topic — show them
  1. Will China invade Taiwan before 2030? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    28%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  2. Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsPolymarket
    0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  3. If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    46%about even±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  4. Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    9%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  5. If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    65%somewhat likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  6. Xi Jinping out before 2027? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsPolymarket
    3%very unlikely±0.2 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  7. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsPolymarket
    2%very unlikely±0.1 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
  8. Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030? opens in a new tab
    Forecast marketsManifold Markets
    28%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours

Readers' discussion on this site

Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.

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Sources

3 contributing sources — view breakdown

Attention

  • Hacker NewsPublic discussion47.3
  • Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity53.4
  • Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity56.4

How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say