Discussion sentimentPublic discussionMastodon
Discussion turned more positive
2.2× its usual variation — larger than usual
13
+11.9 ptsup over the last 24 hours
California
Attention around California is below usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.
The state's government, its governor and its politics.
PoliticsUS
Signals
- Attention40below usual−12.9 ptsdown over 24 hours
09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:00
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 55about usualPublic discussionLemmy
- 46about usualPublic discussionHacker News
- 42below usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
- 32below usualPublic discussionMastodon
- 23very quietSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
Medium confidence0.45Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
18 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 1 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 1 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
Legal filing questions Trump’s claims of non-citizen voting in California opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
US appeals court again rejects Trump bid to set aside California ballots opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Justice Department issues subpoenas to California election workers opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
NPR
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
California Begins Discussion on Unlimited Film Incentives: ‘That Is a Heavy Lift’ opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Variety
Judge rejects Trump effort to block California ‘noncitizen’ ballots opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
Al Jazeera English
Judge denies the Justice Department's bid to stop processing California ballots opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
NPR
8-K - CALIFORNIA WATER SERVICE GROUP (0001035201) (Filer) opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · medium confidence
SEC EDGAR
8-K - HOPE BANCORP INC (0001128361) (Filer) opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · medium confidence
Reports
- Official source8-K - FARMERS NATIONAL BANC CORP /OH/ (0000709337) (Filer) opens in a new tab
- Official source8-K - California BanCorp \ CA (0001795815) (Filer) opens in a new tab
- Official source8-K - Orion Group Holdings Inc (0001402829) (Filer) opens in a new tab
SEC EDGAR
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 10%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050 opens in a new tab
Outcome: Before 2050
30%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours - 0%very unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
7 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 15%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 14%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 26%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 26%somewhat unlikely+2.0 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 15%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 98%very likely±0.2 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 2%very unlikely±0.2 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Sources
5 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion20%45.8
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%22.7
- LemmyPublic discussion20%54.5
- MastodonPublic discussion20%31.7
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%42.2
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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