AI capability milestones
Attention around AI capability milestones is about usual, and has not moved over the last 24 hours.
AIGLOBAL
Signals
- Attention60about usual±0.0 ptsunchanged over 24 hoursNo history yet
10-2610-2710-2810-2910-3010-3111-01
10-0810-1510-2210-29
Each source’s own reading, on the same scale as the figure above
- 72elevatedSearch & activityFuture Index internal search and pageviews
- 67elevatedPublic discussionHacker News
- 38below usualSearch & activityWikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)
High confidence0.94Up to date5 sourcesSearch & activity2Public discussion3
What moved
The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.
Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 29 measurements were compared.
29 changes were compared.
Across signals
No relationships between signals were detected this week. Checked 1 topic: 1 had a forecast contract moving well outside its usual range and 0 had unusually high public attention, and none of them showed a second layer doing something measurable at the same time.
What was reported
Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.
These firms you've never heard of are feeding fears the AI bubble could burst opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
BBC News
Apple CEO says the company doesn’t ‘want to ship AI for AI’s sake’ opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
TechCrunch
Medicare used AI to pre-approve patient care, and it immediately led to a large drop in medical services
1 independent origin · low confidence
5 further occurrences on this page — show them
1 independent origin · low confidence
CoinDesk
Is AI your new wingman? How chatbots are transforming dating opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
The Guardian
Humans are still doing the work behind some AI agents opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
1 independent origin · low confidence
The Guardian
AI is coming to construction sites. But does it make workers safer? opens in a new tab
1 independent origin · low confidence
CNBC
What people are discussing
Posts and shared links on the discussion platforms this site reads that are about this topic, over the last two days, the most discussed first. Titles are the platform's own. Counts are the platform's where it publishes them, and otherwise the comments or shares this site read; none of it is a figure this site calculates.
Forecast contracts
One row per source's own question. These are listed side by side for comparison and are not combined into a single figure — each source is answering its own question, in its own words.
- 62%somewhat likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 47%about even±0.4 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 5%unlikely±0.2 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
11 further contracts on this topic — show them
- 50%about even±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 56%about even+1.2 ptsup over the last 24 hours
- 72%somewhat likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 6%unlikely−1.0 ptsdown over the last 24 hours
- 10%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 90%likelyNo movement recorded over 24 hours
- 23%somewhat unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 10%unlikely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 94%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 9%unlikely±0.4 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
- 81%likely±0.0 ptsunchanged over the last 24 hours
Sources
3 contributing sources — view breakdown
Attention
- Hacker NewsPublic discussion60%66.8
- Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity10%72.1
- Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity30%38.0
How the attention figure is calculated · method version 3.0.0 · What these figures do not say
Readers' discussion on this site
Comments from readers of this site, newest first. They are opinions, not a measurement: no figure on this page is computed from them.
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