Future Index

Topics

AI capability milestones

Attention around AI capability milestones is about usual, and has fallen over the last 24 hours.

AIGLOBAL

Signals

What moved

The largest movements across forecasts, attention, discussion sentiment and reporting in the last 24 hours, each compared with how much that topic usually moves.

Nothing moved beyond its usual range over this window. 17 measurements were compared.

17 changes were compared. Not shown: 2 with nothing to compare against, 15 within their usual range.

Across signals

No relationships between signals were detected in this window. A detection needs two layers to have moved measurably over the same topic.

What was reported

Occurrences reported on this topic, the most widely reported first. One entry per occurrence, however many outlets carried it, and the count on each is the outlets that reported it independently.

  1. What lies behind Scotland's AI data centre boom

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    BBC News

  2. Filed: 2026-09-16 AccNo: 0001062993-26-004974 Size: 768 KB Item 8.01: Other Events Item 9.01: Financial Statements and Exhibits

    1 independent origin · medium confidence

    Reports

    SEC EDGAR

  3. As campaign season gears up, AI-generated ads are everywhere

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    NPR

5 further occurrences on this page — show them
  1. Why Trump is all-in on AI despite the warnings

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    BBC News

  2. Anthropic CEO didn’t foresee the speed of global AI growth

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    Al Jazeera English

  3. OpenAI boss says world 'right to be afraid' but 'should trust' AI firms

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    BBC News

  4. Why doomsday warnings are not the only threat to the AI juggernaut

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    BBC News

  5. AI app ads promoting 'objectification of women' banned by watchdog

    1 independent origin · low confidence

    Reports

    BBC News

Forecast contracts

The contracts whose probability moved furthest over the last 24 hours — the size of each move and not its direction, measured against that contract's own earlier reading and against no other contract. One row per source's own question; these are not combined into a single figure.

Order these by movement or by probability

Sources

3 contributing sources — view breakdown

Attention

  • Hacker NewsPublic discussion54.3
  • Future Index internal search and pageviewsSearch & activity44.7
  • Wikimedia Pageviews (Analytics API)Search & activity45.5

How the attention figure is calculated · method version 1.2.0 · What these figures do not say